Symptom
- The forecast values are very high although historical pattern shows a lot of lower intermittent demand.
- The system weights the most recent high demand occurrences in history more.
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Environment
SAP Supply Chain Management (SCM)
SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization (SCM-APO)
SAP Enhancement package for SAP Supply Chain Management
Product
SAP Advanced Planning and Optimization all versions ; SAP Supply Chain Management all versions ; SAP enhancement package for SAP Supply Chain Management all versions
Keywords
overforecasting, alpha, smoothing factor, exponential smoothing, zero-demand periods, demand planning, statistical forecasting, parameter tuning, alpha equals 1, intermittent series, forecast profile, bias , KBA , SCM-APO-FCS-STF , Statistical Forecasting , Problem
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